There is some good news for us here in South Florida, for now, at least.
The atmosphere over the Atlantic Ocean, the Caribbean and the Gulf of Mexico continues to be hostile to tropical development.
A strong high-pressure system is controlling the weather, with the flow around it continuing to spread Saharan Dust from Africa to Texas.
The dry, dusty air helps to limit the development of tropical systems.
Although a few tropical disturbances are moving off Africa on schedule, they are still far south for now, and usually die out in the excessively dry air.
Closer to home, forecasters are watching for the possibility of another non-tropical system next week off the Carolina coast. However, it is not expected to be a threat to land.
— NOAA (@NOAA) July 2, 2020
As for our scorching temperatures lately, a developing low over the Southeast should disrupt the hot weather pattern over South Florida.
The low is forecast to pull some tropical moisture north to us, bringing a better chance of summer thunderstorms.
Additionally, the breeze should pick up, increasing our storm chances over the weekend and especially early next week.
Otherwise, satellite measurements of the Atlantic water temperature show that the tropical waters are currently running warmer than average.
Forecasters say there is a direct correlation between the water temperature in the tropical Atlantic and the number of named storms and hurricanes in a season.