The tropics are beginning to heat up, now that hurricane season is underway.
A small but well-defined tropical disturbance is located a few hundred miles east of the southern Caribbean islands. The upper-level winds are said to not be conducive for significant development.
However, disorganized disturbances of this type, technically called tropical waves, typically lead to the development of most strong hurricanes later in the storm season.
It appears that this particular system will not be able to develop, but will simply become part of a surge in moisture that will affect South Florida early next week.
Most June tropical storms, as well as the occasional hurricane, develop in the western Caribbean or in the Gulf of Mexico, where this one is going.
A dip in the jet stream is coming along that should prevent any development.
That dip will tear apart the disturbance while pulling it north.
The resulting moisture is forecast to come over or very near South Florida, leading to more rain in our forecast for early next week.
No other tropical development is expected into next week.